Post Election thingy …another one

10 May

You just have to. Everyone’s got a thought or a piece of analysis, how they could have changed it or what needs to happen. I wont do that…or will try not to. Instead 6 bloody obvious thoughts and a few things to ponder.

 

First though, smug as it seems I did point out that my feeling was a Conservative Government. Oh how I wish I hadn’t been right.

Obvious things.

Ed Miliband was never a man who seemed like he would be Prime Minister. From the word go didn’t you just feel he wasn’t the right man. I don’t think he brother was/is either. Its not a negative thing, he doesn’t freak you out, but he never seems like he is the next leader of a country.

The Lib Dems signed the death warrant 5 years ago. Like those who signed Charles the firsts they have now been exhumed hung and put on spikes outside Westminster. The party is destroyed for some time to come, maybe permanently, with no regional bases its hard to see where it goes. It blew its chance of some form of PR. Oh we told you so…

The system is well and truly broke, but doubt it will be fixed. The votes to seats ratio is capricious to say the least. Good for regional parties and winners, bad for those growing. The Greens and UKIP will wonder how they could get so many votes for so few seat(S). Will there be a change, I doubt it. The Conservatives did well and Labour could do so as well. Blair blew his chance to make a progressive alliance in 98 and we wont see that chance for a long time.

The Conservative majority cant really hold for 5 years. Just like John Major they will have to seek peace with Unionists sooner or latter. The rump of the Lib dems wont go anywhere near them.

Labour have no clear star waiting to take over. Sorry its that simple.

The British media are mad. The Mail on Sunday is frothing at the mouth this morning. Visit their website of you don’t believe me. The campaign was bonkers, full of lies and fear and it seemed to do the trick. A constant narrative that was more like the Looney left one of the 80s than anything there’s been since.

Ponder this…

The Euro referendum will be a nightmare. There will be Tories who set up a failure message before its begun. The things they want aren’t deliverable. The Eurosceptic rump is still alive and will extract damage. This will be like nothing we have seen before. It will be a huge distraction and pointless. The UKIP army are ready to go for this. I have no idea what the result would be but there will likely be few winners in the mainstream parties.

The Opinion polls…what do they do now. We had all this in 92 and they learnt what exactly ? Each election since has overstated the Labour vote and still…on the basis of an exit poll John Curtice is vindicated. However if you wanted to test a product on the market would use pay these guys ? Voting is less complex than shopping.

Scotland. What now ? Drip drip drip I imagine.

The Conservatives will start to think about Cameron’s exit, probably by xmas it will be an on-going issue. There’s plenty of applicants, will they want it ? Will they be wanted ?

The fixed term act …will that be repealed ?

Oh and the presentation and representation of women in politics…are we going backwards ?

 

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